The overall decline in the internal combustion engine industry "13th Five-Year" will welcome new development

According to the key enterprise data of the China Internal Combustion Engine Industry Sales Monthly published by China National Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association, the sales volume of internal combustion engine (including 110 internal combustion engine complete engines and motorcycle engine data) was completed in November 2015, with 4,860,900 units, a year-on-year decrease of 2.54%; 2015 In January-November sales, a total of 51,769,900 units were sold, a cumulative decrease of 5.42% year-on-year; in November 2015, 200.818 million kilowatts were completed, a year-on-year increase of 14.54%; and from January to November 2015, a total of 1923.2265 million kilowatts were completed, a cumulative increase of 0.45% year-on-year.

The downward pressure on the internal combustion engine industry still exists
The downward pressure on the internal combustion engine industry still exists

The sales volume of the passenger car market rose rapidly, and the cumulative sales volume was far better than the industry average, with a cumulative increase of 6.25% year-on-year. Affected by the country’s second-largest national market, the diesel engine market remained at a low level, with the cumulative decline to 17.58% year-on-year.

The decline in the internal combustion engine in November 2015 was basically the same as in October 2015. In addition to passenger car engines , other types of engines continued to decline, and the downward pressure on the industry remained. The year 2016 as the beginning of the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” will bring new impetus to the development of the industry and lead the industry to upgrade in an all-round way.

Overall decline in the industry

In terms of fuel types, diesel engines sold 366,900 units in November 2015, and accumulated sales were 5,719,200 units, a year-on-year decrease of 35.39% and a cumulative year-on-year decrease of 17.58%. Gasoline engines sold 4,495,500 units in November 2015, and accumulated sales were 45,783,800 units, up from the same period last year. An increase of 1.70%, a cumulative decrease of 3.56% year-on-year.

In terms of the auxiliary engine market, except for the year-on-year cumulative increase in the number of internal combustion engines for passenger vehicles, all other markets showed a year-on-year decline. From January to November 2015, the cumulative sales volume of passenger vehicle internal combustion engines was 166.766 million units, an increase of 6.25%; the cumulative sales volume of marine internal combustion engines in November 2015 was 40,800 units, a year-on-year decrease of 4.76%; and the sales of motorcycle internal combustion engines in November 2015 was 2139.27. Million units, a year-on-year decrease of 6.56%; agricultural machinery used in November 2015 accumulated sales of 4.109 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 8.71%; garden machinery used in November 2015 cumulative sales of 360.78 million units, a decrease of 11.15%; commercial vehicle internal combustion engine In November 2015, the cumulative sales volume was 2,752,300 units, a year-on-year decrease of 18.59%; the cumulative sales volume of the internal combustion engine used in construction machinery was 395,200 units in November 2015, a year-on-year decrease of 24.57%; the largest decrease was in the internal combustion engine for generator sets. The cumulative sales volume in November 2015 was 162.98 Million units, a year-on-year decrease of 28.28%.

The emission standards of diesel engines were affected by the country’s second-largest country-III. Some companies did not apply for the announcement under the State-Owned Announcement. Except for export products, the other two countries’ products stopped production from October 2015 and stopped selling. For the single-cylinder diesel engine industry, which accounts for a relatively high proportion in the field of supporting agricultural machinery, sales volume continues to continue in October 2015.

In November 2015, the cumulative sales volume of single-cylinder diesel engines was 2,618,300 units, a year-on-year decrease of 18.11%. The top five companies are: Changchai, Changfa, Jiangdong, Changlin agricultural equipment and Sanhuan. Its sales of single firewood products accounted for 71.58% of the industry's sales volume. On the whole, industrial companies are vigorously digesting the country's second inventory, and actively upgrading the country's three products to respond to market fluctuations under the new situation.

Affected by the State of the Second National Upgrade III, the sales of construction machinery and agricultural machinery used in internal combustion engines have dropped drastically, and the sales volume of commercial vehicles has continued to shrink. As for the multicylinder diesel engine enterprises supporting these three industries, the decline in overall sales volume has continued. enlarge.

The cumulative sales volume of multi-cylinder diesel engine companies in November 2015 was 3,329,900 units, a year-on-year decrease of 17.17%. Sales of the top ten sales such as Yuchai, Quanchai, Weichai, and Xichai accounted for 65.92% of the total sales. At present, only Yunnei, Foton Cummins, Changchai, Yiluo Luoyang, Futian Engine Factory, Yiwu Jiangyan, Leiwo and other cumulative sales are increasing year-on-year.

The cumulative sales volume of the top 10 internal combustion engine companies supporting commercial vehicles in November 2015 decreased by 24.60% year-on-year, and Yunnei, Foton Cummins, Foton Engine Works, and Jiangxi Isuzu had risen in contrarian conditions. Yuchai has always maintained a leading position in the bus markets that are being competed by various multi-cylinder companies. Among the many fields supported by multi-cylinder diesel engines, the field of power generation achieved a good performance. The sales volume of Dongkang and Carter industries came first, and the decline in construction machinery sector further expanded, with a cumulative decrease of 25.88%.

In November 2015, imports and exports continued to decline. According to customs data, in November 2015, China’s total value of imports and exports was 2.16 trillion yuan, a decrease of 4.5%. Among them, exports were 1.25 trillion yuan, a decrease of 3.7%; imports were 910 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.6%; trade surpluses were 343.1 billion yuan, an increase of 2%. Overall, despite the year-on-year negative import and export data for November 2015, both were better than October 2015. Under the influence of the global economy's overall lack of recovery in kinetic energy and the continued sluggish domestic and international demand, China’s foreign trade is facing unprecedented difficulties, and the negative growth of import and export trade throughout the year is difficult to reverse. It is expected to decline by 7.2% for the whole year.

Export-oriented small gasoline engine companies have been affected, and sales have fallen sharply. Small gasoline engine companies sold a total of 8.14 million units in November, down 9.75% year-on-year. The top five companies were Huasheng, Loncin, Runtong, Zhongjian Technology, and Linhai. The year-on-year cumulative growth of the companies are Loncin, Runtong, and Makita (Kunshan), which are up 4.95%, 21.42%, and 5.14% year-on-year, better than the industry average.

The multi-cylinder gasoline engine is mainly used in passenger vehicles. In November 2015, sales continued to increase in October 2015, a rapid increase from the previous year and a significant increase from the same period of last year. The cumulative sales growth far exceeded the industry average. In November, multi-cylinder gasoline engine companies sold 17.2256 million units, a year-on-year increase of 5.69%.

The overall trend of new energy internal combustion engines is stable. The government has continued to implement favorable policies for new energy vehicles, new energy-related infrastructure construction in full swing, and people's acceptance of new energy has deepened, and new energy internal combustion engines will become better and better.

In the first 11 months of 2015, with the exception of the year-on-year increase in passenger vehicles, the rest of the industry has declined to varying degrees, and the total sales volume has steadily declined.

"Thirteen Five" industry has developed

According to the “13th Five-Year Plan for Development of China's Internal Combustion Engine Industry” (Draft for Soliciting Opinions), “Internal combustion engines are the products with the greatest potential and the most obvious and obvious results in energy conservation and emission reduction at present and in the future, and they have been the mainstream power for quite a long period of time. The status of machinery cannot be shaken.To achieve the total goal of China's carbon dioxide emissions in 2030 and will strive to reach an early peak, the task of energy-saving and emission reduction of the internal combustion engine industry is arduous and has a heavy responsibility.” The next five years will be a period when the internal combustion engine industry will usher in a full upgrade.

Observing from the top end of manufacturing, the current lack of serious and missing testing technology and equipment for internal combustion engines is also a major constraint to the continued healthy development of the internal combustion engine industry in China. For a long time, the test technology and test equipment for production, testing, and testing of the internal combustion engine industry in China have been heavily dependent on foreign countries. The vast majority of key test equipment and instruments need to be imported to resolve, seriously hindering the improvement of independent innovation capabilities and the development of new products. .

It is reported that in the face of the severe impact of various substances such as carbon dioxide greenhouse gas and fine particulate matter emitted by internal combustion engine products on the atmospheric environment, the concerns of energy-saving emission reduction technologies of the internal combustion engine industry in developed countries have shifted from controlling the emission of harmful substances from internal combustion engines to controlling carbon dioxide emissions. From the EU's automobile emission regulations, it can be clearly seen that the newly-manufactured CO2 emission standards for passenger cars will be reduced from the current 130 g/km to 95 g/km by 2020, and greenhouse gas emission control is replacing the regulations on harmful substances. It has become a major driving force in the development of internal combustion engine technology.

Li Dongru, deputy secretary-general of the China Federation of Machinery Industry, said: “The future development should focus on green design technologies, cleaner production technologies, resource recycling technologies, and energy-saving emission reduction and noise reduction technologies. Green manufacturing is the driving force of technological innovation. The concept of 'resource efficiency', which achieves the highest value-added output with the least amount of resources, has achieved a better integration of 'green' and 'profit' and is also in line with business needs.

Xing Min, executive vice president and secretary-general of the China Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association, said to green manufacturing, “In order to comply with the advocacy of an environmentally friendly society, the entire internal combustion engine industry should fully implement green manufacturing, pay attention to the research and development of alternative fuels, and fully implement the national implementation. Emission regulations for motor vehicles and internal combustion engines Accelerate the realization of advanced manufacturing of internal combustion engines, comprehensively consider environmental impacts and efficiency of resource use, comprehensively promote clean and highly efficient processing technology, promote intelligent production, and achieve green production.Promote special lubricants for internal combustion engines for alternative fuels and Unconventional post-discharge post-treatment technologies, and the development of new alternative fuel combustion technologies. The deepening of alternative fuel engines is compatible with existing engine manufacturing systems."

During the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” period, in addition to the technological upgrading of environmental protection and green manufacturing, innovation in the design and production technology, domestic brands and enterprises will go global, and industry supervision will be improved. Under the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan”, the entire internal combustion engine industry must strengthen its independent R&D capabilities and focus on core technologies. Actively respond to environmentally friendly construction as the goal, and promote sustainable development such as green production and remanufacturing. At the same time, each internal combustion engine company should actively respond to the call of the national policy. With the help of policies, it will continuously improve its own strength, commit itself to building the world's leading internal combustion engine industry, and provide industrial chain services for global internal combustion engine companies.

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